WEBINAR #3: Co-production in the field of land-system science - participatory modelling, scenario building and forecasting techniques in land system science

Thursday, November 1, 2018 -
2:00pm to 3:30pm
Online - Central European Standard Time
Related GLP Member: Enrico Celio, Joerg Priess, Albrecht Ehrensperger, Isabelle Providoli

The GLP working group on co-production is pleased to invite you to the third webinar of the webinar series on co-production in the field of land-system science. The webinar is open to people already engaged in co-production, as well as to newcomers to the topic, who are not currently engaged in this exciting work. The webinar will focus on participatory modelling, scenario building and forecasting techniques in land system science.

As illustrated in webinars #1 and #2, co-production is key in defining current research priorities and shaping decision making based on past trends and available system knowledge. Co-production is maybe even more important when trying to grasp future developments or defining desirable development trajectories.

Modelling, scenario building and forecasting are typical tools for exploring what lies ahead in time. Even though they look like tools for researchers only, such tools also bear great potential for supporting, guiding and enhancing participatory processes at various scales. Thus, they feature prominently in our third webinar, during which three presenters will illustrate these co-production approaches using concrete examples based on their experience.

Enrico Celio (ETH Zürich, Switzerland and EcoAgriculture Partners, Washington DC) will explore the potential of participatory modelling and the use of Bayesian Networks (BN), which he will illustrate with the Bayesian network-based Land-use decision Modeling Approach (BLUMAP) and with concrete implementation examples in Switzerland and Madagascar.

Joerg Priess (UFZ, Leipzig, Germany) will focus on collaborative research using participatory scenario development at different scales. His presentation will highlight three examples in different settings and scales, and with different forms and levels of co-production / stakeholder involvement. He will present examples from Northern Mongolia, Central Germany, and Europe.

Jürgen Reinhard (Quantis, Zurich, Switzerland) will present an example on participatory scenario modelling for the generation and assessment of potential biomass energy strategies in East Africa. His presentation will highlight the formative scenario method and its value for the participatory co-development of future scenarios. He will present examples from Kitui (Kenya) and Moshi (Tanzania)