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The working group will support the development of the next generation of large-scale (global to continental/national scales), land-use models that are based on human behaviour, agency and decision-making processes. The purpose of this approach is to explore a wide range of key research (and policy) questions at the nexus of food, ecosystems, water, climate and energy. This will support understanding of adaptation and mitigation processes within the land system in which the land system is used as an exemplar of other socio-ecological systems. The working group will create an alternative to the current range of ‘top-down’ global models (based on macro-economics) and thus, will provide a working laboratory to test theories of human decision making, and undertake social simulation experiments in a globally (inter-)connected world, i.e. taking account of telecoupling. This includes new representations of institutional processes and their relationships with local land users. We also envisage coupling of large-scale, land-use models with other models types, such as Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs), biodiversity models and/or climate emulators to explore a wide range of environmental change drivers and to evaluate the consequences of these for ecosystem services. In practice, we will work towards a common ‘modelling framework’, or a suite of models operating within a common structure. This reflects the many different ways of modelling land use change processes, especially with respect to theories of land-use decision-making. We will explore alternative realisations of these decisional processes within the common modelling framework. All model results will be made available to the broader community through an online portal.
The overall goal of the working group is to support the creation of the next generation of large-scale, land-use change models that take account of human behaviour, agency and decision-making processes. The specific objectives are to:
In addition to Mark Rounsevell, the following group members also serve as coordinators:
The following members of our group also serve on the steering committee:
Alan Di Vittorio
Sander van der Leeuw
Thursday, January 9, 2020
This project will investigate land based mitigation options for climate change and their associated trade-offs using a state-of-the-art global land use model. Position will be supervised by Mark Rounsevell and Peter Alexander. Deadline to apply is 9 Jan 2020.
Organizers are inviting applications to join a symposium from researchers with an interest in modelling human-nature interactions over large spatial extents. Participants will work together towards a common ‘modelling framework’; a conceptual and technical design for integrated behavioural modelling of the land system that reflects the many different ways of understanding and modelling land use change processes. This is an activity being organised by the GLP-AIMES joint Working Group on Large-scale Behavioural Models of Land Use Change for May 2020.